In short, No. There is an enormous discrepancy. However, this did not strictly disprove the idea that vacuum energy contributes to the cosmological constant. It showed that the simplest quantum-field-theory estimate is catastrophically wrong. This is the cosmological constant problem.

1. Observed cosmological constant

Using the Planck ΛCDM valuesH0=67.4 kms1Mpc1,ΩΛ0.685,H_0=67.4\ \mathrm{km\,s^{-1}\,Mpc^{-1}}, \qquad \Omega_\Lambda \approx 0.685,

the cosmological constant isΛ=3ΩΛH02c2.\Lambda=\frac{3\Omega_\Lambda H_0^2}{c^2}.

Converting the Hubble constant:H0=2.184×1018 s1,H_0=2.184\times10^{-18}\ \mathrm{s^{-1}},

givesΛ1.09×1052 m2.\boxed{\Lambda\approx1.09\times10^{-52}\ \mathrm{m^{-2}}}.

That is the geometrical value appearing in Einstein’s equation. The corresponding vacuum-energy density isρΛ(E)=Λc48πG=ΩΛ3H02c28πG.\rho_\Lambda^{(E)} =\frac{\Lambda c^4}{8\pi G} =\Omega_\Lambda\frac{3H_0^2c^2}{8\pi G}.

Therefore,ρΛ(E)5.25×1010 Jm3.\boxed{\rho_\Lambda^{(E)} \approx5.25\times10^{-10}\ \mathrm{J\,m^{-3}}}.

As an equivalent mass density:ρΛ(m)=ρΛ(E)c25.85×1027 kgm3.\boxed{\rho_\Lambda^{(m)} =\frac{\rho_\Lambda^{(E)}}{c^2} \approx5.85\times10^{-27}\ \mathrm{kg\,m^{-3}}}.

That is only about 3.5 proton masses per cubic metre. Its characteristic particle-physics energy scale is[ρΛ(c)3]1/42.24×103 eV.\left[\rho_\Lambda(\hbar c)^3\right]^{1/4} \approx2.24\times10^{-3}\ \mathrm{eV}.

So dark energy corresponds to an extraordinarily small energy scale of approximately2.2 meV.\boxed{2.2\ \mathrm{meV}}.

These numbers use the Planck Collaboration’s ΛCDM parameters and standard constants from NIST. Planck cosmological parameters, NIST physical constants

2. Quantum-field vacuum-energy estimate

In quantum field theory, every field mode behaves like a harmonic oscillator with zero-point energyE0=12ω.E_0=\frac12\hbar\omega.

For one massless bosonic degree of freedom, summing all modes up to a maximum wave number kmaxk_{\max} givesρvac=0kmaxd3k(2π)312ck.\rho_{\rm vac} = \int_0^{k_{\max}} \frac{d^3k}{(2\pi)^3} \frac12\hbar ck.

Evaluating the integral:ρvac=c16π2kmax4.\rho_{\rm vac} = \frac{\hbar c}{16\pi^2}k_{\max}^4.

The natural extreme cutoff is the Planck scale:kmax=1P,P=Gc31.616×1035 m.k_{\max}=\frac{1}{\ell_P}, \qquad \ell_P=\sqrt{\frac{\hbar G}{c^3}} \approx1.616\times10^{-35}\ \mathrm m.

Therefore,ρvacQFT=c16π2P4=c716π2G2,\rho_{\rm vac}^{\rm QFT} = \frac{\hbar c}{16\pi^2\ell_P^4} = \frac{c^7}{16\pi^2\hbar G^2},

which givesρvacQFT2.93×10111 Jm3.\boxed{\rho_{\rm vac}^{\rm QFT} \approx2.93\times10^{111}\ \mathrm{J\,m^{-3}}}.

3. How far apart are they?

Compare this with the observed value:ρvacQFTρΛ(E)=2.93×101115.25×10105.58×10120.\frac{\rho_{\rm vac}^{\rm QFT}} {\rho_\Lambda^{(E)}} = \frac{2.93\times10^{111}} {5.25\times10^{-10}} \approx5.58\times10^{120}.

Thus,ρvacQFT is approximately 5.6×10120 times too large.\boxed{\rho_{\rm vac}^{\rm QFT} \text{ is approximately }5.6\times10^{120} \text{ times too large}.}

That is a discrepancy of approximately121 orders of magnitude.\boxed{121\text{ orders of magnitude}.}

Using the dimensional “one Planck energy per Planck volume” estimate givesρP=c7G24.63×10113 Jm3,\rho_P=\frac{c^7}{\hbar G^2} \approx4.63\times10^{113}\ \mathrm{J\,m^{-3}},

and thereforeρPρΛ8.8×10122,\frac{\rho_P}{\rho_\Lambda} \approx8.8\times10^{122},

or approximately 123 orders of magnitude. This is why the problem is commonly described as a 1012010^{120}-fold discrepancy; the exact exponent depends on the cutoff convention and numerical factors.

QuantityEnergy density
Observed dark-energy density5.25×1010 Jm35.25\times10^{-10}\ \mathrm{J\,m^{-3}}
One-field Planck-cutoff estimate2.93×10111 Jm32.93\times10^{111}\ \mathrm{J\,m^{-3}}
Planck energy per Planck volume4.63×10113 Jm34.63\times10^{113}\ \mathrm{J\,m^{-3}}
Discrepancy1012110^{121}1012310^{123}

What the discrepancy actually means

The popular description of “particle–antiparticle pairs constantly appearing in empty space” is only a heuristic picture. The calculation is really a sum of the zero-point energies of quantum fields.

Bosonic and fermionic fields contribute with opposite signs, so some cancellation can occur. But known physics provides no mechanism that cancels these contributions to roughly 120 decimal places while leaving the tiny positive remainder we observe.

In Einstein’s equation, only the total effective value matters:ρΛ,observed=ρΛ,bare+ρvacuumquantum+ρphase transitions+\rho_{\Lambda,\rm observed} = \rho_{\Lambda,\rm bare} + \rho_{\rm vacuum}^{\rm quantum} + \rho_{\rm phase\ transitions} +\cdots

The mystery is why these individually enormous terms apparently cancel to produce5×1010 Jm3.5\times10^{-10}\ \mathrm{J\,m^{-3}}.

So the conclusion is not that vacuum energy has been ruled out. It is that our present understanding of how quantum vacuum energy gravitates is profoundly incomplete.